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Subjective Probability (PDF eBook)

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SUBJECTIVE PROBABILITY (PDF EBOOK)

EBOOK by Jeffrey, Richard
ISBN
9780511207082
IMPRINT
CAMBRIDGE UNIVERSITY PRESS
 
 
EDITION
PUBLISHER
CAMBRIDGE UNIVERSITY PRESS
FOR DELIVERY
DOWNLOAD NOW
FORMAT
EBOOK
PAGES
142 pages
PUBLICATION DATE
4 DEC 2004

DESCRIPTION

This book offers a concise survey of basic probability theory from a thoroughly subjective point of view whereby probability is a mode of judgment. Written by one of the greatest figures in the field of probability theory, the book is both a summation and synthesis of a lifetime of wrestling with these problems and issues. After an introduction to basic probability theory, there are chapters on scientific hypothesis-testing, on changing your mind in response to generally uncertain observations, on expectations of the values of random variables, on de Finetti's dissolution of the so-called problem of induction, and on decision theory.

CONTENTS

1. Probability primer; 2. Testing scientific theories; 3. Probability dynamics; collaboration; 4. Expectation primer; 5. Updating on statistics; 6. Choosing.