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Black Swan, The: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
£9.99

BLACK SWAN, THE: THE IMPACT OF THE HIGHLY IMPROBABLE

PAPERBACK BY TALEB, NASSIM NICHOLAS

£9.99

ISBN
9780141034591
IMPRINT
PENGUIN BOOKS LTD
 
 
EDITION
PUBLISHER
PENGUIN BOOKS LTD
STOCK FOR DELIVERY
IN STOCK
FORMAT
PAPERBACK
PAGES
480 pages
PUBLICATION DATE
01 FEB 2008

DESCRIPTION

Nassim Nicholas Taleb's phenomenal international bestseller The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty. What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. 'Taleb is a bouncy and even exhilarating guide ... I came to relish what he said, and even develop a sneaking affection for him as a person' Will Self, Independent on Sunday 'He leaps like some superhero of the mind' Boyd Tonkin, Independent 'Funny, quirky and thought-provoking ... confirms his status as a guru for every would-be Damien Hirst, George Soros and aspirant despot' John Cornwell, Sunday Times 'Idiosyncratically brilliant' Niall Ferguson, Sunday Telegraph 'Great fun ... brash, stubborn, entertaining, opinionated, curious, cajoling' Stephen J. Dubner, Co-Author of Freakonomics